比特币巨鲸做空3500枚BTC:关键支撑位成市场焦点

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BTC在11.4万美元附近波动,巨鲸加码押注价格下跌,空头头寸增至3500枚BTC。短期持有者成本基础位于11.4万美元下方形成压力,价格跌破30日和90日均线,但200日均线支撑长期上升趋势。市场关注关键移动平均线支撑与巨鲸动向。

关键看点:

  • 比特币在11.4万美元附近震荡,巨鲸持续加码看跌押注
  • 短期持有者成本线承压,关键均线形成动态阻力区
  • CME期货缺口回补后,价格未能守住日内高点

周一华尔街开盘后,比特币未能延续反弹走势,与此同时链上数据显示某匿名巨鲸正在扩大空头仓位。这一动向引发市场对短期价格走势的担忧。

比特币巨鲸做空3500枚BTC:关键支撑位成市场焦点
BTC/USD 1小时图表(来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView)

比特币巨鲸加大看跌押注

根据Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView数据,BTC/USD从11.6万美元的日内高点回落,迅速回补了CME期货市场的上行缺口后跌破开盘价。

$BTC CME缺口已完成回补 https://t.co/Cd6fq3Na1A pic.twitter.com/OWy2aa1bb6

— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto)
2025年10月13日

尽管美国财政部长宣布将与中国进行工作级贸易会谈,但市场反应平淡。摩根士丹利分析报告认为这是谈判前的战术性动作,而非战略转向。

市场焦点集中在某匿名比特币巨鲸身上,该实体在中美贸易消息公布前建立空头头寸,并从上周五200亿美元清算事件中获利。最新数据显示其空头仓位已增至3500枚BTC,清算价位设在12万美元。

加密货币分析师Ted Pillows在社交媒体评论称:”这可能是有意亏损的操作,避免被指控利用内幕信息。”而评论员Max Keiser则直指机构通过无担保空头操纵市场,并断言这种策略终将失败。

比特币巨鲸做空3500枚BTC:关键支撑位成市场焦点
比特币巨鲸空头持仓情况(来源:Max Keiser/X)

短期持有者成本线成关键支撑

比特币价格目前正在测试短期持有者(STH)成本基础构成的关键支撑区域。Glassnode链上数据显示,持有期不超过6个月的投资人平均成本为11.3861万美元,这一水平在牛市回调中历来发挥重要支撑作用。

比特币巨鲸做空3500枚BTC:关键支撑位成市场焦点
比特币长短期持有者成本分析(来源:Glassnode)

与此同时,CryptoQuant平台监测显示三条关键移动平均线正在形成重要技术位:

“当前技术结构显示长期上升趋势仍然完好(价格保持在200日均线上方),但短期动能明显减弱。价格已跌破30日与90日均线,这两条均线现已汇聚形成动态阻力区域。”

比特币巨鲸做空3500枚BTC:关键支撑位成市场焦点
BTC/USD日线图与关键技术指标(来源:CryptoQuant)

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